MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fbe18f44bda200fe71ffb0d7e414f5b9986f76b08dba97178167c8731135bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 2,495$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 2,364$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.17 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,839$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,481$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,200$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,015$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 1,002$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 953.88$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 622.29$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 496.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 448.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 444.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 358.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 311.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 271.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 225.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 210.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 174.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 170.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 157.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 152.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 127$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 116.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 105.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 104.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 99.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 91.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 79.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c88backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 63.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 59.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 58.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fc85backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 52.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…3724backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 51.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 50.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 47.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 44.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 21.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.