TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9292…3724

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.43
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.49
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.42
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.61
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$33.8
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$40.18
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$9.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+202.1%+$33.02
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$16.48
Kosice: Guido Justo vs Lilian Marmousezbacked Lilian Marmousez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$11.56
Roland Garros ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31%+$9.25
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$52.91
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$18.41
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.66
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$12.23
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.