World Politics · resolved market
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbe9c61a42b64390212edbe9db81c20c470a8e3c35a16f47084abd8a19220b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 8,411$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.32 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 79c | 8,152$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 76c | 4,500$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed No | 19c | 4,308$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…f053backed No | 22c | 4,170$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 20c | 4,092$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.01 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 75c | 3,639$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.92 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 1c | 3,552$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 8c | 2,966$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.53 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 51c | 2,158$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.29 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 45c | 1,711$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.98 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…d176backed No | 23c | 1,685$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,673$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.41 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,661$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 56c | 1,559$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.64 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 17c | 1,482$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,339$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.97 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 30c | 1,149$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 29c | 1,127$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 23c | 995.64$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 43c | 951.08$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.83 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 932.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.95 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed2…57ecbacked Yes | 56c | 895.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 41c | 877.29$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 63c | 830$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 37c | 830$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 24c | 783.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.99 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 27c | 762.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 2c | 752.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.39 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 65c | 750$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 688.54$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 44c | 686.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked No | 27c | 675.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…cb05backed Yes | 35c | 649.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 547.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.26 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…c680backed No | 29c | 525.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 57c | 503.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 52c | 500.58$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 44c | 500.1$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 67c | 446.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed No | 16c | 443.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 24c | 422.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 71c | 410.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 32c | 398.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 47c | 351.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…2832backed Yes | 66c | 338.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 62c | 265.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 68c | 258.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed Yes | 78c | 254.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 52c | 250.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 22c | 240$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…3808backed Yes | 26c | 225.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 74c | 204$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…0d78backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 60c | 198.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…3724backed No | 28c | 163.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 153.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 17c | 151.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…07e1backed No | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 25c | 149$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 75c | 148.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 28c | 141.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked Yes | 8c | 137.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 36c | 131.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 33c | 125.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…8396backed No | 45c | 124.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 118.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes | 51c | 118.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…091dbacked Yes | 65c | 117.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 55c | 111$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 47c | 109.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Yes | 42c | 109.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…f0adbacked Yes | 37c | 107.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 43c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…4254backed Yes | 48c | 104.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…5d3abacked Yes | 45c | 104.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 104.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…8264backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 75c | 99.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…f99fbacked Yes | 41c | 98.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…c226backed Yes | 48c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…d18cbacked Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 87.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 38c | 85.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 47c | 85.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Yes | 77c | 83.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…5d0dbacked Yes | 36c | 82.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…de90backed Yes | 71c | 78.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Yes | 48c | 75.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 47c | 74.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 74c | 73.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 72.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?this page
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?No won
- Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.