TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f5e…5cdb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$15.78
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+540.5%+$212.27
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.46
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.32
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.29
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.02
Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.93
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.37
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.07
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.36
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$19.04
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.33
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.52
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.22
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$78.36
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$47.5
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.03
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.56
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.35
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+177.1%+$83.89
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.21
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.42
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.36
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$29.41
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$92.53
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.95
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$5.45
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$6.58
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$15.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.75
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
Will FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$38.91
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.84
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.8
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+214%+$69.83
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$80.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$16
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$21.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+273.2%+$66.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$29.01
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+92.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$13.4
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$21.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.