TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x187b…26bfbacked Under52c4,992$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.981631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over49c4,691$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.322740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over48c3,010$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c2,618$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.461,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over73c2,328$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.524266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.533834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,386$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,192$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.1830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under51c1,132$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under12c1,122$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4859458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under51c872.08$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c754.42$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.843663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over49c661.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.623534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Over48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c510.18$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under14c473.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.941,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c393.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.852548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under50c387.07$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c363.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under52c291.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under32c224.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c209.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.88058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c187.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.775763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c187.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.633458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under50c161.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.712352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over52c145.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.936549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under51c126.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.723268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under51c125.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c125.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.255463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c125.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.254459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c125.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.253568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c104.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3312367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c104.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Over48c104.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over48c103.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.939960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.533145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under51c92.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over50c84.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.365100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over48c76.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.89955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over50c66.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c63.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2810248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under51c61.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over48c54.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.146450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under51c52.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.93812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c50.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.895251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5870…276ebacked Over50c46.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over49c40.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.762070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Under51c40.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Over48c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd86…b634backed Over50c39.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…b570backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Over50c36.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over72c28.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under51c27.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over50c27.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over49c26.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.716352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over66c26.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under51c25.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under51c25.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over76c24.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.366446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c21.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under51c21.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Over49c20.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Over73c17.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.733164.5%20 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.