Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ecb5722e15676c5bc827600bdaa04de246284395b63ac9a3d3955be5ceec00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 55c | 872.61$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 831.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 809.41$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 690.61$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 23c | 580.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 73c | 517.25$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 396.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 39c | 278.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 75c | 261.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 216.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 44c | 111.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 65.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 66c | 65.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…cf21backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 43c | 45.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 58c | 41.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 37.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 37.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 79c | 37.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 72c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.