Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ca1c8dfc070a7f78b5311c2689f1547aa901f03f0bffafd8929f86544b41d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,542$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,274$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 425.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 4c | 385.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 267.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 26c | 129.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 69c | 129.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 106.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 95.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 90.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 90.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked No | 79c | 29.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.