Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c2b898511e3e2ef1e10005d219d2de2af8a844b5da2843b2699d52dc8311ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 3,558$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 1,281$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 7c | 922.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 66c | 896.99$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 35c | 771.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 704.63$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 636.6$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 513.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 471.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 16c | 405.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 63c | 310.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 306.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 296.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 231.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 55c | 180.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 39c | 160.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 63c | 145.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 135.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 104.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 60c | 103.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 77c | 103.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…b9a3backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…59e5backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…711bbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…43b3backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 74c | 97.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 35c | 87.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 63c | 78.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 62c | 72.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 64c | 69.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 56.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 63c | 55.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 29c | 55.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 73c | 52.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 63c | 46.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed No | 64c | 46.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 68c | 40.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 67c | 34.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 63c | 29.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 64c | 23.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 63c | 20.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 63c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 61c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.