Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ee1b751e6c58cd7bf8b4f04a8bac24e36fd98076daf18f74c9321b5757f18f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,253$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 7c | 1,976$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 1,040$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e510backed Yes | 10c | 759$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 750.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 550.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 35c | 395.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 295.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 67c | 276.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 232.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…b4d4backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Yes | 9c | 138.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 65c | 134.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 120.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 98.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 36c | 83.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 66c | 73.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 35c | 58.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 35c | 50.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a6eabacked Yes | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 36c | 33.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 33c | 30.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…6353backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.