Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18dccc229331c63d8360d1400ece2355627637547d8dcd54aa5f7f1b5580686e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,855,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,054,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,855,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f18…6b94backed No | 2c | 50,751$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 0c | 45,401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 1c | 43,197$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.43 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 27,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked No | 2c | 27,037$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked No | 4c | 21,045$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 1c | 19,477$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 15,841$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 2c | 12,249$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 2c | 11,941$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 10,728$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 3c | 10,432$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed No | 2c | 10,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…4ce4backed No | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed No | 3c | 9,515$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…0ab6backed No | 2c | 8,681$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…532abacked No | 0c | 7,280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 2c | 6,863$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 11c | 6,633$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.56 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…10e2backed No | 2c | 6,263$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b1d8backed No | 2c | 6,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 5,882$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…5c19backed No | 5c | 5,759$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.92 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed No | 1c | 5,692$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…7b78backed No | 2c | 5,656$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2b2bbacked No | 2c | 5,433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…7654backed No | 2c | 5,340$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…6723backed No | 1c | 5,099$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…e60abacked No | 1c | 4,835$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 78c | 4,647$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.01 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…d030backed No | 11c | 4,484$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…7839backed No | 2c | 4,453$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…82b2backed No | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 9c | 3,960$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 1c | 3,955$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed No | 11c | 3,843$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…94a3backed No | 1c | 3,841$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 3,708$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…680dbacked No | 3c | 3,633$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 3,488$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…0f47backed No | 2c | 3,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…61d0backed No | 2c | 3,158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 11c | 3,134$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…cd8bbacked No | 3c | 2,918$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…135abacked No | 2c | 2,875$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 2c | 2,852$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…b1d1backed No | 2c | 2,781$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 76c | 2,684$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.87 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed No | 1c | 2,658$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…09b0backed No | 2c | 2,652$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed No | 2c | 2,613$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 2,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed No | 13c | 2,586$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 12c | 2,535$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,520$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.59 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…e7bfbacked No | 2c | 2,511$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 2,379$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…19bbbacked No | 8c | 2,376$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…42cabacked No | 3c | 2,348$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d7…9679backed No | 2c | 2,342$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 55c | 2,220$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.72 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked No | 1c | 2,213$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked No | 11c | 2,174$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…5ef2backed No | 2c | 2,123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 2,102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 1c | 2,095$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…1814backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…9f3abacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…70ebbacked No | 2c | 1,963$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 2c | 1,900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…5f78backed No | 2c | 1,853$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…355cbacked No | 29c | 1,827$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked No | 3c | 1,815$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…0bc0backed No | 3c | 1,782$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…b8f1backed No | 3c | 1,745$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 71c | 1,707$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…cb57backed No | 1c | 1,683$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…a091backed No | 2c | 1,680$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…e0ddbacked No | 2c | 1,678$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 2c | 1,600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c7…59cfbacked No | 6c | 1,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 1,542$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…6cedbacked No | 2c | 1,525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ab…1f23backed No | 2c | 1,508$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…87e3backed No | 3c | 1,508$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…d09abacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…f3fdbacked No | 2c | 1,409$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 33c | 1,364$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…9be3backed No | 1c | 1,343$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…efe7backed No | 3c | 1,327$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,326$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…0279backed No | 1c | 1,320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed No | 1c | 1,283$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…cd66backed No | 2c | 1,277$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked No | 55c | 1,276$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…2f81backed No | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…aad9backed No | 2c | 1,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 2c | 1,230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.