Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1407ef3df88eeb834f5acc7c83dd1a52a62fa2c79a10a4c1184c585936e9faa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,086,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 0c | 122,552$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,040$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 0c | 53,871$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +1,808.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 48,731$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.84 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 1c | 33,497$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 0c | 32,709$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 1c | 31,445$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,651$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…4566backed Yes | 0c | 28,772$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 0c | 27,487$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 0c | 24,014$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…a0ebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…a995backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…c2d5backed Yes | 1c | 18,735$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7e…01d8backed Yes | 0c | 18,149$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,568$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…7b78backed Yes | 0c | 16,357$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…f3fdbacked Yes | 1c | 13,272$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…8b52backed Yes | 0c | 12,814$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8060…c73dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,091$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +265.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…a746backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…306ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +15.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0281backed Yes | 1c | 9,892$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…f2eebacked Yes | 0c | 9,214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 8,726$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,656$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…6ebfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,312$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 3c | 7,254$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 1c | 6,960$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,757$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…4185backed Yes | 1c | 6,514$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 0c | 6,395$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 5,781$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…d030backed Yes | 0c | 5,532$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…da43backed Yes | 2c | 5,187$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…e498backed Yes | 1c | 5,011$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 0c | 4,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,779$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…5348backed Yes | 4c | 2,803$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…1bd9backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…1fdabacked Yes | 1c | 2,583$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda84…28cdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +1,090.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…51ddbacked Yes | 2c | 2,470$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 5c | 2,314$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…61d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,289$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,237$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 3c | 2,226$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 4c | 2,220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…2b6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,978$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 1,579$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,546$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…d189backed Yes | 9c | 1,492$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87a…51debacked Yes | 1c | 1,481$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,451$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9158backed Yes | 3c | 1,213$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed Yes | 4c | 1,210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c06abacked Yes | 5c | 1,103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,080$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Yes | 8c | 1,035$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1c9dbacked Yes | 4c | 999.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…bfa9backed Yes | 2c | 967.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…204bbacked Yes | 1c | 881.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 3c | 851.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 7c | 775.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…59f6backed Yes | 2c | 672.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…f4d4backed Yes | 5c | 644.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…1b55backed Yes | 4c | 581.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes | 4c | 529.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…7ebfbacked Yes | 6c | 415.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…cf2fbacked Yes | 3c | 400.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…ff39backed Yes | 6c | 321.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…1212backed Yes | 6c | 319.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…a117backed Yes | 8c | 251.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.