Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7483dba1fe6fbf749c05be4c93c61867d9bac16705aabe104cc5e2e30fcace3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,394,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,394,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 142,347$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.63 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 101,872$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 0c | 89,006$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 1c | 79,541$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 75,777$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.27 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 1c | 47,599$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0281backed Yes | 0c | 45,821$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 39,850$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…f3fdbacked Yes | 2c | 33,726$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 32,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…4566backed Yes | 0c | 26,863$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…6ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 26,464$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.65 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…c931backed Yes | 0c | 21,546$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…c2d5backed Yes | 2c | 20,072$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 18,441$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…6c21backed Yes | 0c | 15,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 0c | 15,093$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…7b78backed Yes | 1c | 14,889$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…8b52backed Yes | 0c | 12,815$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,994$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +15.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 0c | 11,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,963$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8060…c73dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,380$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +265.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…da43backed Yes | 1c | 9,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…5fecbacked Yes | 3c | 9,496$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…12b9backed Yes | 14c | 9,380$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 8,744$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…d030backed Yes | 3c | 8,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 2c | 7,518$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…9d04backed Yes | 0c | 7,497$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 3c | 7,322$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 6,842$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Yes | 0c | 6,121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +1,808.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,734$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 1c | 5,240$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…f8fabacked Yes | 1c | 5,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…c312backed Yes | 1c | 4,896$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 2c | 4,389$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…54f2backed Yes | 2c | 4,036$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 0c | 4,014$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…135abacked Yes | 1c | 3,990$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 3,932$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…9702backed Yes | 1c | 3,890$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…4d1bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,802$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,794$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…a746backed Yes | 1c | 3,675$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 3,669$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc86…e717backed Yes | 3c | 3,535$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…1bd9backed Yes | 1c | 3,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…a63bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…f4d4backed Yes | 3c | 3,287$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed Yes | 0c | 3,248$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…beebbacked Yes | 1c | 3,246$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…f6b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,161$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 3,141$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…d704backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 4c | 2,965$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked Yes | 2c | 2,940$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,820$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…cd8bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,523$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…f2eebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,427$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8c…cf31backed Yes | 4c | 2,398$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 1c | 2,286$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…229fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…f972backed Yes | 1c | 2,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…3ab0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,971$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9158backed Yes | 3c | 1,951$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 1,918$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 1,900$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…06b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,836$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…9c98backed Yes | 3c | 1,763$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,756$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,734$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…8df2backed Yes | 1c | 1,734$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…d3d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,720$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,713$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…b0c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,609$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ba…5a07backed Yes | 1c | 1,527$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 1,401$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,373$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…5348backed Yes | 7c | 1,363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 2c | 1,350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…3f9bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,334$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…d2c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,316$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…4002backed Yes | 2c | 1,307$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…e7a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,289$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…51ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,247$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 20c | 1,247$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87a…51debacked Yes | 3c | 1,158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…2070backed Yes | 1c | 1,059$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,054$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…e741backed Yes | 1c | 1,045$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 5c | 1,001$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…1c9dbacked Yes | 3c | 999.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.