Middle East · resolved market
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05bfd5efc54b5e3cd2ea7cd3e83298839620bfe9fa5986ff4c531cc008e55e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,197,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,384,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,197,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 1c | 115,135$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.92 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…fef1backed Yes | 1c | 108,973$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 1c | 96,483$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…c121backed Yes | 1c | 91,630$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 87,771$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.13 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…a161backed Yes | 1c | 65,800$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 60,050$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 59,308$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 2c | 58,621$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.23 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 53,600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…a995backed Yes | 1c | 53,462$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 0c | 47,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 31,975$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…c931backed Yes | 0c | 28,287$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…1852backed Yes | 1c | 28,208$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 26,959$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…92fbbacked Yes | 1c | 24,640$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 3c | 21,015$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.78 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 3c | 20,382$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…b55cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,298$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…f4d4backed Yes | 2c | 20,003$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…fbc2backed Yes | 1c | 18,893$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…7b78backed Yes | 2c | 17,243$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 1c | 16,977$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…dd37backed Yes | 2c | 14,677$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1a…d391backed Yes | 2c | 13,748$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6600backed Yes | 1c | 13,660$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked Yes | 1c | 12,883$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9158backed Yes | 1c | 12,569$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…b1d8backed Yes | 2c | 12,339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +101%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…b08dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,304$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 12,057$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…b844backed Yes | 1c | 11,980$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 1c | 11,847$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 11,445$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,430$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…d8d1backed Yes | 2c | 10,841$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 10,349$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 1c | 10,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6b…65dbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…4ce4backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…8e5abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…0894backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 0c | 9,271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 1c | 8,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed Yes | 1c | 8,978$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…10e2backed Yes | 1c | 8,356$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…4333backed Yes | 1c | 8,202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…4bb8backed Yes | 1c | 7,778$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,577$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…b524backed Yes | 6c | 7,362$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…de95backed Yes | 0c | 7,189$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…cdddbacked Yes | 0c | 7,135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0281backed Yes | 1c | 6,956$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…d4e4backed Yes | 1c | 6,740$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,373$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +15.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…4c9abacked Yes | 1c | 6,100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 59c | 6,081$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.81 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…6c72backed Yes | 2c | 5,955$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 1c | 5,683$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…00c8backed Yes | 1c | 5,517$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…6066backed Yes | 1c | 5,489$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…43bfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,154$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…1bd9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…1324backed Yes | 1c | 4,903$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…c4dcbacked Yes | 0c | 4,645$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…d06fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,603$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…2318backed Yes | 1c | 4,484$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…0781backed Yes | 1c | 4,166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed No | 33c | 3,964$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.28 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…98e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,749$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…6364backed Yes | 1c | 3,688$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…fb30backed Yes | 1c | 3,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 12c | 3,638$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…7104backed Yes | 1c | 3,443$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…1295backed Yes | 2c | 3,433$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…86f6backed Yes | 1c | 3,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,288$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 17c | 3,280$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.46 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…9bffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,237$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…c6ddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,223$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…fb9bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,205$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…3861backed Yes | 1c | 3,084$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61df…8514backed Yes | 1c | 3,043$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5503…3a8fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,035$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,034$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…30fabacked Yes | 2c | 3,007$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,921$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…e7bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,817$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…bff4backed Yes | 1c | 2,812$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 2,811$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…f618backed Yes | 1c | 2,807$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…cceebacked Yes | 1c | 2,774$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?this page
- Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?No won
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.