TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd675…153d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.83
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$97.33
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$427.43
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.94
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$101.43
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65.68
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$329.6
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$103.78
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.85
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.82
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.11
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.62
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.13
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.45
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.17
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.63
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.49
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.21
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,859.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$104
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,009.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$599.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.