TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,667,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,667,772 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c3,821,523$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.69258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c1,334,463$7,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,397.31214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…bdffbacked Yes0c543,870$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c509,204$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.3646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b17…7990backed Yes0c323,735$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c316,031$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.0339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf728…6552backed Yes0c299,309$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfcf…6dc5backed Yes0c271,710$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c269,788$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.5535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick5cpaid-56.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Yes1c243,187$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.942540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c231,060$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.171978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes0c225,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes1c208,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c199,996$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.988827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d8…7750backed Yes0c188,160$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7471…a6dabacked Yes0c150,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Yes1c149,736$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.153351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c145,524$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.16150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d3…891ebacked Yes0c144,599$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3006…6f28backed Yes0c136,849$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efb…c22abacked Yes0c127,512$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…9d5cbacked Yes0c127,080$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5580%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes0c122,463$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes0c110,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes1c110,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d2…034bbacked Yes0c90,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c90,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…02a5backed Yes0c90,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf041…034abacked Yes0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c87,821$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.754035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Yes1c83,348$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.446132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e65…6c95backed Yes0c80,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c74,379$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.38590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8673…92debacked Yes0c72,234$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Yes1c71,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…08b6backed Yes0c70,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…d770backed Yes0c70,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…8d7cbacked Yes0c61,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4828…b63bbacked Yes0c60,258$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda09…4852backed Yes0c55,660$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d5…185dbacked Yes0c54,950$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1115…83f5backed Yes0c50,555$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…7438backed Yes0c50,115$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes0c50,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7f…f11bbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes0c50,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…b308backed Yes0c50,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes0c50,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8c…d699backed Yes0c49,965$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes0c49,244$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…5ed8backed Yes0c45,912$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635a…9bd5backed Yes0c45,911$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb47…a994backed Yes0c45,833$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f4f…9f7cbacked Yes0c45,786$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6596…56c6backed Yes0c45,740$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf603…aac3backed Yes0c45,526$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a75…2c9cbacked Yes0c42,121$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes0c40,995$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc76d…2c25backed Yes0c40,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb194…40e1backed Yes0c40,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6b…3681backed Yes0c40,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…9af9backed Yes0c40,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes0c40,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Yes1c39,800$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes0c39,652$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a42…d013backed Yes0c39,200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked Yes1c39,000$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes0c38,952$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Yes1c36,952$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.663339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c35,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90b9…1951backed Yes1c32,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-83.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c30,737$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a5…6112backed Yes0c30,427$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8182…3732backed Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9809…108fbacked Yes0c30,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes0c30,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe4…bafcbacked Yes1c28,400$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes1c25,819$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c25,063$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.06140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ee…9ababacked Yes1c25,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Yes1c25,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9afa…eaf0backed Yes0c24,535$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…9649backed Yes0c23,890$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899d…c30dbacked Yes0c22,476$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes0c21,630$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6316030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004b…ffd6backed Yes0c20,122$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd675…153dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c5c…14aebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…7186backed Yes1c20,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d5…6240backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…b21bbacked Yes0c20,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4b…cf60backed Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd1…b849backed Yes1c19,404$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes1c19,328$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.975125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6d…f7cdbacked Yes1c18,000$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.