NBA · resolved market
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713641f745d71f6ec61f906237ffca3c8583f251e49384429a63ceb0ccdb2d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,553,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,191,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,553,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 5c | 725,485$34,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690,964.74 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 6c | 457,875$27,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430,358.26 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bc…a3a7backed Yes | 78c | 417,246$327,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,887.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 4c | 395,094$17,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377,358.66 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Yes | 67c | 361,971$243,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,301.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 5c | 355,287$17,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337,439.02 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked No | 2c | 333,333$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.32 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 70c | 327,282$229,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229,658.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 20c | 300,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 40c | 243,711$97,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,361.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 46c | 240,304$111,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,634.56 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 32c | 240,168$77,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,033.26 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 237,864$12,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,258.15 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 11c | 231,526$25,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,751.51 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d033backed Yes | 80c | 224,407$179,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,979.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…d6ddbacked Yes | 35c | 216,951$76,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,953.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 200,943$56,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,767.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…bce3backed No | 21c | 188,262$39,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,957.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 49c | 185,614$90,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,903.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 62c | 185,367$115,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,314.11 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 171,514$91,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,807.07 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 11c | 170,551$18,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,696.43 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Yes | 12c | 170,318$21,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,308.27 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 34c | 163,293$55,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,382.9 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 5c | 155,517$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,487.94 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 24c | 142,719$33,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,816.19 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 45c | 134,026$60,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,146.05 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Yes | 15c | 133,009$19,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,493.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Yes | 36c | 130,485$46,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,648.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Yes | 78c | 129,266$101,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,266.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 13c | 128,229$17,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,222 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yes | 21c | 127,452$26,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,956.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 122,361$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,255.4 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 18c | 120,943$21,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,674.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 49c | 119,915$58,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,627.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 4c | 116,499$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,489.3 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…a8ccbacked Yes | 77c | 115,507$89,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,075.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…328abacked Yes | 27c | 113,291$30,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,242.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 34c | 111,600$37,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,843.08 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…2ed1backed Yes | 79c | 111,144$87,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,753.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 6c | 110,537$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,969.59 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked No | 43c | 109,101$47,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,100.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 4c | 105,515$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,464.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +252%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 6c | 105,177$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,698.52 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 22c | 104,751$23,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,179.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 4c | 104,354$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,698.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed No | 22c | 103,528$22,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,422.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 31cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 11c | 103,111$11,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,265.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 18c | 101,755$18,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,745.65 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 6c | 100,380$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,066.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 3c | 100,365$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,247 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 9c | 100,006$8,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,393.48 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 3c | 100,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 3c | 100,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 13c | 99,635$12,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,854.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 48c | 98,981$47,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,032.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…8970backed Yes | 2c | 98,145$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,721.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +3,948.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 30c | 94,469$28,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,120.29 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 4c | 93,446$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,061.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 37c | 93,300$34,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,356.03 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 92,879$19,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,620.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 5c | 89,508$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,032.14 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 78c | 85,520$66,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,548.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yes | 37c | 85,109$31,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,834.31 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 23c | 85,000$19,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,905.74 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 7c | 84,888$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,626.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +138%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes | 45c | 84,718$38,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,284.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Yes | 16c | 83,636$13,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,325.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 11c | 83,334$9,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,755.13 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 83,136$21,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,506.98 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Yes | 36c | 82,434$29,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,567.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 4c | 82,083$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,479.87 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 9c | 79,867$7,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,660.61 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked Yes | 67c | 78,237$52,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,018.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 8c | 77,598$6,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,162 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes | 16c | 77,154$12,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,137.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 32cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed Yes | 36c | 76,181$27,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,862.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Yes | 3c | 74,138$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,987.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes | 29c | 71,830$20,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,316.16 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +8.7wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +97%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 43c | 70,107$29,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,239.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 6c | 70,000$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,611.98 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Yes | 31c | 69,643$21,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,843.36 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 28c | 69,558$19,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,769.27 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes | 26c | 68,493$17,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,593.41 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 6c | 67,136$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,343.5 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 5c | 63,946$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,748.61 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 13c | 62,287$8,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,192.12 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Yes | 14c | 62,094$8,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,663.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 66c | 61,557$40,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,051.24 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed No | 64c | 59,133$37,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,698.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 19c | 58,757$10,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,761.76 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 21c | 56,441$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,446.51 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 4c | 56,362$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,259.67 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 36c | 55,413$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,412.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 71c | 55,350$39,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,976.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 7c | 54,858$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,957.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…163fbacked Yes | 31c | 54,856$17,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,610.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Yes | 15c | 53,530$8,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,438.53 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Yes | 7c | 52,811$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,093.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 37c | 52,157$19,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,048.72 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.