NBA · resolved market

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,241,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,730,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,241,610 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd008…135dbacked Yes	8c	1,334,649$112,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,149.48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+141%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Yes	7c	624,815$44,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,071.8	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Yes	10c	377,699$37,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,769.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	6c	304,087$19,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,074.41	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	8c	292,838$23,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,569.97	53	5.7%3 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Yes	10c	200,000$20,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,263.11	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes	6c	180,000$9,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,902.26	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	9c	138,188$12,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,576.56	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a0…bdabbacked Yes	9c	136,962$12,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,964.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes	10c	136,726$13,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,120	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	125,879$2,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,968.33	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	9c	108,862$9,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,797.56	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	10c	106,916$10,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,914.02	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4321…8fdcbacked Yes	11c	92,000$9,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,836.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	12c	89,934$10,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,892.78	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	10c	89,029$8,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,725.09	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Yes	12c	71,765$8,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,297.07	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes	10c	71,292$7,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,076.87	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	10c	70,494$6,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,848.32	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes	5c	61,654$3,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,330	108	35.2%38 W · 70 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	9c	60,287$5,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,608.11	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	12c	57,854$6,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,694.91	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x130a…b382backed Yes	10c	57,215$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes	11c	56,746$6,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,274.34	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	10c	50,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes	4c	50,000$1,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,813.11	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes	10c	50,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.7	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Yes	9c	45,034$4,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093.7	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…87f0backed Yes	11c	36,937$4,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,218.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	8c	35,794$2,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,706.51	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…e54abacked Yes	11c	35,611$3,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,830.96	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa20…9262backed Yes	10c	34,926$3,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,492.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	5c	34,423$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.62	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	30,656$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.91	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	9c	29,936$2,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,761.92	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	10c	29,304$2,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,985.31	404	48.3%195 W · 209 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	7c	27,654$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.98	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes	10c	25,692$2,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,566.8	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Yes	10c	25,004$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.39	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	11c	23,082$2,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,463.46	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes	11c	23,082$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes	15c	22,522$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,305.06	143	56.6%81 W · 62 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad7…7608backed Yes	9c	22,400$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.63	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes	8c	22,099$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.95	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes	12c	22,000$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,702.12	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.21per pick	42cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes	9c	21,182$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,970.94	198	38.9%77 W · 121 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yes	4c	21,053$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes	4c	20,003$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.4	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Yes	12c	20,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.99	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab7…5714backed Yes	9c	20,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2497…e26abacked Yes	9c	19,991$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	6cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	10c	18,984$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.01	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae92…b1cebacked Yes	11c	18,300$2,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,013	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	11c	17,755$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.03	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff7…62cbbacked Yes	9c	17,692$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	10c	17,355$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,676.88	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes	6c	17,078$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.67	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+159.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Yes	6c	16,685$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.73	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	7c	15,584$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.26	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	9c	15,462$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Yes	4c	15,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	10c	14,700$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.65	129	30.2%39 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	1c	14,599$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.58	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	3c	14,000$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+85.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes	11c	14,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.99	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes	11c	13,637$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.07	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Yes	8c	13,572$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.48	146	49.3%72 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	8c	12,746$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.66	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Yes	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.96	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9389…711cbacked Yes	9c	12,200$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.98	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes	13c	12,080$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.68	463	48.4%224 W · 239 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	11c	11,550$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.47	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb842…9ee1backed Yes	11c	10,909$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	4c	10,859$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.17	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5361…593bbacked Yes	14c	10,512$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.3	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes	9c	10,366$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.9	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	8c	10,231$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.39	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Yes	3c	10,081$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.76	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xded4…07d7backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes	4c	10,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…df3cbacked Yes	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	4c	10,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	251	43.4%109 W · 142 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	10c	9,659$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.14	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Yes	4c	9,508$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9248…dc47backed Yes	11c	9,274$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes	9c	9,226$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	243	23.9%58 W · 185 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	11c	9,091$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes	9c	8,333$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe556…4659backed Yes	10c	8,300$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.99	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…3f65backed Yes	12c	8,209$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ff…0ba5backed Yes	13c	8,133$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,028.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	8c	8,056$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes	11c	8,052$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Yes	4c	7,886$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	213	38%81 W · 132 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Yes	10c	7,488$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.82	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Yes	10c	7,333$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.3	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	7,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	84	4.8%4 W · 80 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+489.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa97…673ebacked Yes	11c	7,188$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event