TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9389…711c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+806.8%+$12,468.43
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.04
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$857
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.41
Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+360.8%+$50.9
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$368
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.47
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.21
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$105.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.62
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.91
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+173.3%+$18.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+185.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+161.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$103.4
Will Russia capture Siversk before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$151.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.85
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$726
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,443.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.