Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3898d16e04818aa853e39e1533b368ad57ca092ec0e6298ccdf41b62786ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,750,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,377,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,750,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 84,471$12,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,134.86 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked No | 4c | 39,240$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…9473backed Yes | 73c | 22,401$16,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 4c | 11,578$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 38c | 11,408$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 7,235$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 7,223$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 75c | 6,437$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 3c | 5,976$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed Yes | 39c | 5,812$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,706$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.43 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 1c | 5,689$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 5,425$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 61c | 5,154$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.94 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed Yes | 72c | 5,099$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…477abacked No | 1c | 4,823$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 8c | 4,780$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.93 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…0552backed Yes | 74c | 4,723$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…8108backed Yes | 65c | 4,654$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 44c | 4,589$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 79c | 4,444$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.29 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…9d9dbacked No | 1c | 4,046$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…2a33backed No | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 73c | 3,631$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…494dbacked Yes | 69c | 3,499$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c90ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,475$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…1483backed No | 5c | 3,390$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 70c | 3,179$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 3,081$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 0c | 3,075$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 19c | 2,568$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed No | 1c | 2,558$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…e510backed No | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 2,409$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed No | 36c | 2,400$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 73c | 2,354$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 74c | 2,322$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.21 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…c0c7backed No | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 53c | 2,270$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.93 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 59c | 2,238$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 51c | 1,945$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 1c | 1,934$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…434ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,894$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 54c | 1,874$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 17c | 1,809$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…bfcdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,662$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Yes | 62c | 1,645$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…de30backed Yes | 75c | 1,580$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…7c06backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…4edbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,471$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…31b2backed No | 1c | 1,465$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…a31fbacked No | 1c | 1,451$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,428$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,406$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.06 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…3361backed No | 1c | 1,364$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…fec1backed No | 1c | 1,249$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked No | 59c | 1,224$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…b786backed No | 1c | 1,219$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…2797backed No | 1c | 1,193$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…240ebacked No | 36c | 1,186$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…f098backed No | 1c | 1,115$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,073$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…51e1backed No | 44c | 1,049$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…b671backed No | 39c | 1,033$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed No | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca8…da83backed No | 12c | 976.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…f585backed No | 66c | 911.52$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 52c | 900$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…5c7fbacked Yes | 78c | 848.44$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 33c | 821.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 59c | 800$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 28c | 750$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf54…5345backed No | 2c | 739.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 34c | 738.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Yes | 66c | 738.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…6718backed Yes | 75c | 675.69$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…4e67backed Yes | 64c | 660$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…7226backed Yes | 79c | 628.07$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…237cbacked Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71e…7972backed Yes | 42c | 593.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 71c | 580.49$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…f109backed Yes | 64c | 579$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed Yes | 63c | 576.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 61c | 552$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…7849backed Yes | 16c | 546.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked Yes | 68c | 543.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 537.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes | 45c | 531.27$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…4d05backed No | 7c | 526.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 61c | 505.36$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.