TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00ee…1128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: IPO, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category IPO at 50 out of 100; worst Middle East at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$141.92
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.78
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$84.59
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.76
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.84
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.89
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Yōko Kamikawa be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the US strike Nigeria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the US strike Cuba next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the US strike Colombia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.12
Will the US strike Iraq next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.43
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.