Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ced25c1266e3bdb08450662d82a6361777ddd1de9c5c4572c33652d6dd1aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,044,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 10c | 106,071$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370.13 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed Yes | 4c | 71,928$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 26,762$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.57 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 71c | 25,072$17,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.99 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…8e23backed Yes | 1c | 23,500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…3e7abacked Yes | 0c | 22,730$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,200$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,796$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 2c | 18,324$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 2c | 17,372$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 12c | 16,446$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.67 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 71c | 16,422$11,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.64 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f67abacked Yes | 5c | 16,011$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.98 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 42c | 15,534$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…b481backed Yes | 1c | 14,597$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 13,396$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.27 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…fe5ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,882$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.12 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed Yes | 2c | 12,732$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,482$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.93 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 12,298$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…f2b8backed Yes | 0c | 12,067$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe5…a718backed Yes | 33c | 11,922$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 70c | 11,028$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.68 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…1489backed Yes | 5c | 10,700$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…bf3ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…9c63backed Yes | 1c | 9,973$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 8c | 9,206$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…809abacked Yes | 24c | 9,097$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…f2d6backed Yes | 1c | 9,028$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed Yes | 17c | 8,945$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 8,771$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.12 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…0377backed Yes | 0c | 7,925$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 79c | 7,897$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.18 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…b784backed Yes | 1c | 7,108$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 72c | 6,990$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.75 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 24c | 6,839$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.85 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 5c | 6,751$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…bf67backed Yes | 60c | 6,722$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…6244backed Yes | 25c | 6,653$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,652$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…2a85backed Yes | 17c | 6,641$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…709ebacked Yes | 13c | 6,587$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6363…cd4cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ca…029bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,830$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked Yes | 5c | 5,742$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…a746backed No | 75c | 5,664$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.42 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…49f8backed Yes | 1c | 5,398$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…9eb9backed Yes | 8c | 5,318$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…6e70backed Yes | 0c | 5,298$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…1039backed Yes | 2c | 5,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,113$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.95 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 5,097$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 1c | 4,872$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 5c | 4,846$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…6257backed Yes | 12c | 4,762$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…2e39backed Yes | 2c | 4,678$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 35c | 4,517$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.93 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 4,463$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…07bcbacked Yes | 46c | 4,365$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…821dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…bb0fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,173$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 25c | 4,148$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.57 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…26b7backed Yes | 0c | 4,042$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21f…c60abacked Yes | 3c | 4,016$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…c938backed Yes | 1c | 3,859$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…00babacked Yes | 15c | 3,658$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.94 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Yes | 41c | 3,654$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…e8f6backed Yes | 2c | 3,574$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 3,574$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.07 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…1996backed Yes | 3c | 3,566$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…9372backed Yes | 1c | 3,558$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 3,418$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…293bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…623fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,174$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 44c | 3,162$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.72 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Yes | 6c | 3,159$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 25c | 3,082$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.28 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…903fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,067$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…043bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,037$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…4a4abacked Yes | 26c | 3,030$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a9…87cebacked Yes | 12c | 2,967$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.97 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,967$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed No | 69c | 2,914$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 73c | 2,904$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.57 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…c9a0backed Yes | 1c | 2,877$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…bab1backed Yes | 1c | 2,820$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,802$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.41 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67b…c941backed Yes | 11c | 2,797$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 2,759$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e9…ab58backed Yes | 55c | 2,715$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 2c | 2,696$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…9f36backed No | 74c | 2,637$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.19 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed No | 79c | 2,631$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 28c | 2,619$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed Yes | 8c | 2,584$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?this page
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes won
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.