Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88aaff66d70b71b0808d9168ef0266277e2e02ff300953606864be4c86f369c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,088 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 14,279$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 2c | 13,874$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…65e4backed Yes | 9c | 12,814$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…e640backed Yes | 1c | 12,280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 10,141$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…1407backed Yes | 2c | 9,954$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…4409backed Yes | 2c | 8,804$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…1fedbacked Yes | 2c | 8,078$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,625$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…1ad9backed Yes | 1c | 7,174$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…00babacked Yes | 2c | 6,694$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…d6bebacked Yes | 7c | 6,648$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…ae38backed Yes | 9c | 5,427$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 0c | 5,386$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…f49cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,389$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…3fa5backed Yes | 1c | 4,200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,056$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed4…c735backed Yes | 4c | 3,758$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,733$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…75c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,720$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…47b9backed Yes | 5c | 3,432$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 1c | 3,430$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…8bb6backed Yes | 8c | 3,392$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…c76bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,366$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 3c | 3,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 6c | 3,140$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 2c | 2,994$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,971$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…e708backed Yes | 2c | 2,850$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -96.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…555abacked Yes | 2c | 2,674$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d01…d558backed Yes | 4c | 2,635$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,566$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 2,550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,546$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,468$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f5…0488backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 3c | 2,372$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 3c | 2,339$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…903fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,031$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…3272backed Yes | 3c | 1,973$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 1c | 1,932$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…fe5ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,875$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,838$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…defebacked Yes | 1c | 1,830$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa59d…bf03backed Yes | 1c | 1,824$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6d…f391backed Yes | 5c | 1,818$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…f618backed Yes | 4c | 1,816$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…415bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…e842backed Yes | 4c | 1,784$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…1a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,784$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,777$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…9c8bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,695$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 4c | 1,687$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…2c67backed Yes | 2c | 1,667$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5bacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,528$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…37fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…4799backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…bd32backed Yes | 6c | 1,384$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Yes | 3c | 1,335$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…4c66backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…9299backed Yes | 4c | 1,282$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…55eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,264$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 75c | 1,263$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…fe89backed Yes | 4c | 1,256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…767dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,186$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e1…2c83backed Yes | 1c | 1,123$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 5c | 1,078$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 4c | 1,048$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…0695backed Yes | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…ee71backed Yes | 5c | 1,019$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fd…42aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,014$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…6b30backed Yes | 2c | 989.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21f…c60abacked Yes | 3c | 986.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 984.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…6acebacked Yes | 4c | 964.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Yes | 5c | 954.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…57afbacked Yes | 2c | 904.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…cc01backed Yes | 6c | 855.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…b62abacked Yes | 2c | 841.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes | 4c | 833.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…702fbacked Yes | 2c | 778.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 4c | 757.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…ebb4backed Yes | 2c | 731.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…7c76backed Yes | 3c | 703.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72f…2c36backed Yes | 2c | 698.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 687.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…cfb5backed Yes | 2c | 628.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 8c | 616$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…bb31backed Yes | 2c | 614.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Yes | 2c | 549.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?this page
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes won
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.