TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3511…ee71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$4.55
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$13.74
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.82
Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.36
Bordeaux: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$19.1
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$7.38
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$24.46
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Tatjana Maria vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63%+$10.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.46
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$73.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$21.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RMD Gaming vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88%+$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$17.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.