South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca17bd9fa1d2d66a06f9c1a704bda701c31cbfae66175cdeb3bfb398f93865e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 62c | 18,671$11,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,489.73 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 58c | 10,143$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.72 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 6,801$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Yes | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 2,633$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 2,567$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Yes | 39c | 2,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 1,143$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.92 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 862$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 61c | 560$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 43c | 557.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.9 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 18c | 547.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 517.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 16c | 506.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 480.9$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 364.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 70c | 355.43$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 320.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 38c | 287.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 70c | 283.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 38c | 278.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 40c | 237.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 40c | 217.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 210.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked No | 73c | 186.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 38c | 112.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked No | 26c | 103.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 69c | 82.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 44c | 79.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 40c | 72.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 37c | 64.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 34c | 58.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 38c | 57.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 38c | 54.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Yes | 40c | 50.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 35c | 43.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…a98dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 40c | 36.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 43c | 36.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 73c | 31.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…388ebacked No | 57c | 30.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…ee71backed Yes | 39c | 30.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 29.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 56c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 44c | 24.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.