South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd09c6418033093693eac7f1be78e46ddc634209b06b382586ca45a8fda54f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 26c | 10,728$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.31 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 76c | 5,091$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.92 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,929$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,593$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 1,135$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,076$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 977.63$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Yes | 60c | 928.29$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 73c | 775.02$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Yes | 26c | 719.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 23c | 679$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 75c | 597.05$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 24c | 499.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 394.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 23c | 387$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 18c | 375$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 60c | 331.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 73c | 282.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 270$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…6e14backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bf…5766backed Yes | 10c | 202.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 73c | 176.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 157$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 30c | 106.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 61c | 104.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 101.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 86.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 25c | 81.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 32c | 79.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 54c | 75.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 66c | 68.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 67.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…46cebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 28c | 64.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 23c | 62.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 57.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Yes | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 44.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 75c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 49c | 31.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 52c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 48c | 29.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 73c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…8548backed No | 74c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 76c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Montevideo City Torque end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.