TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ca5…9343

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Drama eSports (BO3) - DraculaN Group Dbacked Drama eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$10.35
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$11.81
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Team Aether - Map 2 Winnerbacked Chicken Coop Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Back to Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$20.64
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$22.3
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+84.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33.09
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+216.9%+$31.2
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$53.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.67
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinosbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-14.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.