Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244ae0c20cdc863b48c434db76394f4bc3ff5abad1855875dcf8296490ea2bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 60c | 9,445$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.87 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,395$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.51 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 41c | 2,155$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.83 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 1,880$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.16 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 39c | 1,853$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.55 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 1,780$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Yes | 36c | 781.2$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 37c | 650.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 620.12$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.65 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 29c | 482.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 442.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 61c | 423.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 59c | 392.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 385.62$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 380.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 20c | 357$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 19c | 348.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 29c | 299.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 41c | 274.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 272.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 36c | 267.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 247.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 231.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 224$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 41c | 169.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 40c | 156.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 153.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…1b00backed Yes | 37c | 141.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 36c | 137$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 127.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbe…7780backed No | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 98.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 64c | 75.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 70.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 62c | 56.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…88e1backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 50.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 39c | 40.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…9343backed Yes | 35c | 35.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 74c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 31.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 20.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 59c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.