Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1495f25edf7e54b2d4c25e9534627535a4faefcc63992d70b58087a1b84d383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 916.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 64c | 779.46$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.86 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 650.05$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 472.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 471.49$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.37 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 397.23$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 64c | 391.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 49c | 328.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 237.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 34c | 205$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 36c | 188.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 178.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 24c | 174.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 171.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 65c | 159.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 144$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 140.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 139$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 135.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 52c | 119.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 104.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 33c | 80.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 21c | 61.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 48c | 57.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 57.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 54.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 32c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 33c | 41.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 56c | 38.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 75c | 37.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 35c | 34.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 29.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 64c | 27.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 47c | 27.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 64c | 20.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 65c | 19.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.