TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95a0…e80b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$21.52
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will NEC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+222.6%+$28.94
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$15.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$11.66
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$6.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$15.33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.5%+$21.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.