Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadbd40da0f70359f93800926a5434f6caa9a7864a444c844852c8b6f0bc985c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 34c | 47,918$16,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,413.21 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 28,526$14,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,710.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 25,971$8,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,855.46 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 65c | 12,644$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 66c | 12,500$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 6,920$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.55 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 38c | 6,434$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.78 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 6,401$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.69 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.06 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 5,602$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 5,062$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.7 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 66c | 5,060$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.43 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 4,864$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 14c | 3,733$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 3,653$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 13c | 3,162$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 67c | 2,419$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,212$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 2,182$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.61 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 2,007$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.22 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 13c | 1,683$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 1,647$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 1,189$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 58c | 929.25$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 59c | 888.14$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 57c | 877.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 824.15$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 72c | 773.57$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Yes | 3c | 677.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 41c | 614.63$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 50c | 601.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 46c | 562.48$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 16c | 533.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 522.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 522.03$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 36c | 503.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 16c | 375.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 14c | 356.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…4597backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 50c | 313.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 35c | 298.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 271.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 41c | 269.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…719bbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 73c | 246$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed Yes | 24c | 241.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 59c | 241.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Yes | 41c | 237.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 46c | 237.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 46c | 210.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 190.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 52c | 190.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 74c | 185.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed No | 50c | 169.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 54c | 166.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 43c | 164.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…2e61backed Yes | 13c | 163.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 159$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3e16backed Yes | 29c | 149$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Yes | 45c | 147.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 46c | 146.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 61c | 146.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 144.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 144.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 76c | 141$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 52c | 133.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 60c | 131.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 128.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…a80dbacked Yes | 12c | 128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 36c | 126.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed No | 71c | 120.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 13c | 119.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 36c | 113.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 13c | 113.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 44c | 107.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 13c | 100.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.