TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e39…ed5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65.07
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$502.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$308.77
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+73%+$303.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$57.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.89
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$111.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,186.48
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$1,228.65
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$769.08
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$225.42
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+319.3%+$57.48
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$29.28
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$451.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.34
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$151.18
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.68
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.32
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$543.58
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$79.09
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$98.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$418.55
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$93.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$65.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$94.97
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$78.64
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+186.6%+$866.48
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$79.47
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$472.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.05
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.74
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$166.37
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$267.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$80.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.