TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes0c24,295$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.814141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes44c22,543$9,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,918.822850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c14,143$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,223.0443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes50c12,079$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes47c10,740$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes45c10,642$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.331643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes2c10,163$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.271442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes7c6,994$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4615140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c6,336$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.7398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No56c5,590$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.2411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No55c5,531$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.741450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes3c4,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c3,082$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.4746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No57c3,058$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.42763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c1,956$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9513049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c1,675$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.354452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes39c1,285$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes7c1,025$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.759336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c997.01$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4716858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c844.34$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes44c795.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.191010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes40c765$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes44c727.26$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No56c709.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.412445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c666.66$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1814843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes45c561.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No56c557.08$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.716352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c553.01$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.165246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No56c552.81$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No56c548.38$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.135255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No23c495.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+383.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No61c493.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.441040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No56c468.33$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.412365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c468.33$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.415257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No56c459.63$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.434553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No51c411.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c361.39$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No55c354.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.554355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No55c345.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.455154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes19c338.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Yes47c333.33$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1386147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1385244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No60c299.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes34c281.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.678327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes41c256.1$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes44c253.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.753938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c252.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes44c249.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.838139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c239.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes43c234.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c213.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4210857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c208.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4711057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No31c197.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.061233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked No57c189.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes43c183.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.987549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes9c177$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c171.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes46c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…8ab3backed Yes45c151.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes14c145.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes39c126.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes39c126$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes44c112.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a64…0a74backed Yes41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes44c88.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.635754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No57c87.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes46c87.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes43c83.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.434456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No57c81.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes58c76.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1911063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c74.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes23c69.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c68.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.689714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7932453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes45c66.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No54c66.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Yes45c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No56c61.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.282060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No62c59.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.235352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1c…ddeebacked No56c53.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x518e…0913backed Yes37c53.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No53c52.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.