Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1561d0a2c933f9a7e784df18ca078cee8f5e51aee481f409e1843e854e1af56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 77c | 24,406$18,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,813.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 16,994$11,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.41 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 9,521$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,841.8 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 21c | 6,476$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.38 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 62c | 6,143$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.87 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 29c | 4,294$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 29c | 3,793$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 3,295$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.24 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 7c | 3,166$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,031$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.65 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 34c | 2,971$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 22c | 2,252$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 1,699$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.92 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 78c | 1,600$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 9c | 1,136$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 25c | 1,122$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 40c | 1,116$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.78 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 76c | 933.57$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.3 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 28c | 903.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 10c | 799.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +383.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 765.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.31 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 730$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.66 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 71c | 730$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 24c | 508$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 24c | 493.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 24c | 493.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 47c | 467.79$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 29c | 440$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 32c | 412.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 32c | 412.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 32c | 412.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked No | 50c | 401.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 23c | 347.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 77c | 330.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 21c | 290.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 35c | 287.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 29c | 254.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 79c | 252.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 69c | 243.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 217.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 197.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 31c | 182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 24c | 179.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 34c | 161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 63c | 147.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 34c | 147.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 135.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 11c | 128.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +362.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 119.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 28c | 108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 47c | 105.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +170%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 13c | 95.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +294.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 95.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 17c | 94.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 33c | 92.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 90.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 50c | 89.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 88.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 23c | 87.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 46c | 87.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 69.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 76c | 67.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 25c | 67.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 32c | 63.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked No | 69c | 62.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 70c | 56.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed No | 68c | 40.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Yes | 72c | 30.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Yes | 69c | 29.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 28.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 45c | 24.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013c…690ebacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 77c | 19.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…275bbacked No | 69c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.