TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No68c7,133$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.5898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes32c5,389$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.472850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c4,428$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.9515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes24c2,102$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.314060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes23c1,307$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes16c1,300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.995119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes24c1,250$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c1,088$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes24c1,032$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.329336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c895.24$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c873.65$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No78c837$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.866147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes30c833.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.334845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No51c820.29$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5732…703bbacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+187.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c720.08$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.054452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes22c558$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.245244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes22c558$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.244944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes23c455.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.341450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No77c419.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+65%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No55c355.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.622450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No12c332.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No72c326.38$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes49c322$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No78c279$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.625853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c253$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1910857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7211…c51bbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c241$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.675246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.675255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.676352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.672365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.675154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.674553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.675257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No69c240.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.671952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c238.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3214843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes16c236.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1d…9fe1backed No78c180$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No69c175.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.816549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No69c175.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.813756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No69c175.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.812653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Yes29c175.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.678048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c154.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.24729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c149.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No17c147$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes24c136$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.365100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c129.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No40c126.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.655259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Yes40c126.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No61c119.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes42c118.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes25c114.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes43c113.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41788.2%15 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+48.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc67e…0e52backed No77c107$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c98.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8411050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e5…00aabacked Yes17c97.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+486.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes25c92.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c89.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.886823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c72.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.245853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed No63c68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ea…3d0ebacked Yes23c63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+146%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No79c56.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.944353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No77c53.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed No76c51.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c78…0f7bbacked Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+131.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c48.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3510757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No69c43.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No69c37.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…5a73backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed No69c30.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No76c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No69c18.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c6…dd1cbacked No79c12.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.