TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$632,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes49c41,932$20,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,385.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c35,835$16,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,972.9214740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes43c27,679$11,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,776.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No54c24,606$13,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,287.093444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c22,399$9,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,279.343,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c21,330$12,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,158.3643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes47c20,826$9,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,035.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No51c20,300$10,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,352.981650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes49c20,096$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,248.792259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.994544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No8c18,896$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.689142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No52c17,306$8,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,950.252050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c16,051$8,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,793.161,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes39c14,998$5,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,148.674843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No54c14,428$7,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,791.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No34c13,588$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.447851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No52c12,480$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No51c10,789$5,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,502.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes65c9,950$6,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.772850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5904259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes46c8,473$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,575.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No70c8,159$5,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c7,127$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No54c6,398$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.653452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No51c6,240$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes45c6,232$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c6,007$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.1591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes50c5,828$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes44c5,545$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked No35c5,090$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.87825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes69c5,023$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Yes46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No51c5,000$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5251283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes46c4,999$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.651850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes46c4,838$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.5212832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No54c4,786$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.682540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No55c4,670$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c4,655$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.613839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No54c4,637$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.963250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes49c4,610$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes73c4,607$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.411957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked No52c4,600$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x513e…73cfbacked Yes67c4,147$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.071050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.939754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes77c3,867$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.69668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c3,545$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.291,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No55c3,406$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No62c3,392$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed No54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes64c3,058$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6202123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.983256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.971855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes49c2,968$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.453360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes43c2,934$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.436154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No0c2,870$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-71.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No54c2,844$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c2,655$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.515947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes38c2,503$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes46c2,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.945653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes47c2,472$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No4c2,417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Yes61c2,335$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No55c2,333$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.094420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes46c2,250$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes47c2,224$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No69c2,011$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.4410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0207963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed No54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Yes46c1,790$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No52c1,777$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.191952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No53c1,750$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.474761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No4c1,734$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41150%0 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes46c1,566$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes40c1,542$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.441070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No54c1,533$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.0263857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…8f68backed Yes45c1,519$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No59c1,466$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.814654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c1,450$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.835265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes69c1,394$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed No61c1,368$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c1,362$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.1414552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No60c1,357$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.394461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed No7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes49c1,345$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yes46c1,315$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No55c1,267$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c1,221$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.7874155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c1,218$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.038254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.