TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes29c28,722$8,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,329.382642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c14,727$10,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.9191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c9,800$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c6,282$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.8243344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes15c5,899$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.7319250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c5,203$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No71c4,591$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.391080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c4,570$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.1144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c3,942$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.481,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c3,900$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1317851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c3,760$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed No71c3,271$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No70c2,734$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c2,633$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.531020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes24c1,988$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes25c1,537$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.963221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c1,490$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.738047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes24c1,352$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes4c1,254$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.093522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes28c1,029$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.261478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4595…df87backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.221225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c849.5$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…8f68backed Yes24c795.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes24c477.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes32c399.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0912633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.448130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c381.42$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.434261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c326.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c297$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c277.59$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.566150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No72c269.82$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.157100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c238.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.24369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c218.57$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5227644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes23c202.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.599142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes19c194.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.585236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes29c191.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5370%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes23c190.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.366033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c190.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.812114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes19c188$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.724654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes24c176.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8711833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes18c163$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3437446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe784…a80dbacked Yes29c162.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes28c156.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes29c143.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes31c139.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.143878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked No72c136.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0b…e595backed No72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…f286backed Yes29c132.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c110.25$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7212345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes18c103$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5435944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes24c99.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.723231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.722020%4 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.726944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes29c97.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.325032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed No71c97.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No67c96.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9916013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes29c89.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.851010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c86.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9611235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes29c82.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a55…7087backed No72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c79.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.423582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No65c74.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No68c72.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.158733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes29c68.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes29c66.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc90b…bf72backed Yes29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1527437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9659backed Yes29c66.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c64.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No70c62.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6411657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.322330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes29c55.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No66c55.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8711749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed No75c54.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.821250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes30c53.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes29c49.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed No66c46.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes42c46.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c45.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0911562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No77c45.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.