Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ded27bbffaf03f82b99fcdaecfde0016136fa0eea5193275037dd95d41d28f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 64,239$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes | 26c | 33,078$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 2c | 15,151$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 13,878$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 65c | 6,541$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes | 34c | 5,644$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 71c | 5,108$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,794$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.35 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 3,740$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.3 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,653$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.83 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 3,600$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.16 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 74c | 3,473$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 28c | 3,418$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 3,104$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.24 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,946$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 30c | 2,718$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.19 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,626$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.54 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,200$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed No | 77c | 2,180$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…debbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,140$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,096$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3b…a436backed No | 77c | 2,081$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 77c | 1,972$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.2 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 10c | 1,835$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.8 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 1,724$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.94 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…60e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,696$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 1,443$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,376$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed No | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 1,314$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.03 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed No | 76c | 1,300$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,187$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 27c | 1,043$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.71 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed No | 75c | 985$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 963.73$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 74c | 905.1$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 73c | 885.52$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 59c | 846.37$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 63c | 738$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.79 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625e…4de3backed No | 72c | 687.72$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 26c | 662.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 75c | 657.98$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked No | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 77c | 640.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 74c | 639.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 23c | 609.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Yes | 28c | 604.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 8c | 599.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 529.88$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 509.87$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 77c | 495.39$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…ea25backed Yes | 26c | 489.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 72c | 477.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 72c | 477.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 28c | 431.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 33cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 408.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 407$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 24c | 404.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked Yes | 26c | 390.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Yes | 10c | 378.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 29c | 328.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…715ebacked Yes | 29c | 325.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 318.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed No | 75c | 307.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 301.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…b77abacked No | 75c | 297.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 73c | 295.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 286.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 75c | 276.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed No | 75c | 268.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed No | 73c | 257.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed No | 75c | 249.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…65babacked No | 75c | 248.22$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 75c | 246.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…59f1backed Yes | 20c | 242.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 25c | 218.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 72c | 206.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 72c | 206.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 206.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 25c | 202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.