TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x625e…4de3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$384
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$764.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$918
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$708.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$611.38
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Samuele Pieribacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$968
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,314.22
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$185.85
Shymkent: Jelle Sels vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66%+$1,513.04
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$605.38
Madrid Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$862.37
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$553.86
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,123.81
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.74
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$302.79
Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.03
Grand Prix Hassan II: Alexandre Muller vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$669
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.05
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$1,782.26
LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$1,024
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,493.51
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,320
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$1,561.34
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,992.37
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.68
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$945.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$491.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$192.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.