TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Frances Tiafoeof Rinky Hijikata, Frances Tiafoe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Frances Tiafoe78c22,328$17,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.88650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rinky Hijikata21c14,387$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.231,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Rinky Hijikata23c13,156$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.9557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9412…b9ebbacked Rinky Hijikata16c12,041$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.922917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Rinky Hijikata9c11,393$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.94930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Frances Tiafoe76c11,227$8,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,69027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rinky Hijikata23c10,947$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Frances Tiafoe78c10,134$7,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.3530740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Frances Tiafoe79c9,780$7,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.0833556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Rinky Hijikata23c8,515$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.57332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rinky Hijikata13c7,344$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.437,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rinky Hijikata21c5,075$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.164,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rinky Hijikata22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Rinky Hijikata10c4,725$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.266835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Rinky Hijikata30c4,143$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Rinky Hijikata23c3,587$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Frances Tiafoe79c3,587$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.6436554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Rinky Hijikata21c3,541$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.647635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Frances Tiafoe76c2,649$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.7372452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Rinky Hijikata22c2,634$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.5728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Frances Tiafoe79c2,617$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.258,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rinky Hijikata17c2,615$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.022,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Frances Tiafoe78c2,539$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4546473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rinky Hijikata9c2,392$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.872,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Rinky Hijikata19c2,209$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.811,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rinky Hijikata16c2,168$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.092,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Rinky Hijikata29c2,127$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.933151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Rinky Hijikata22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Rinky Hijikata21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Rinky Hijikata23c1,987$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.16446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked Rinky Hijikata23c1,931$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Frances Tiafoe78c1,908$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.823164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Frances Tiafoe78c1,750$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9423670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Frances Tiafoe72c1,633$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3225764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Frances Tiafoe79c1,600$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Rinky Hijikata15c1,570$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.718446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Rinky Hijikata24c1,527$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4920040%80 W · 120 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Rinky Hijikata22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26415244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd168…9b5bbacked Rinky Hijikata21c1,195$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0140%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Rinky Hijikata25c1,133$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5640141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Rinky Hijikata21c1,084$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6521638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Rinky Hijikata22c1,083$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.354450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Rinky Hijikata22c1,004$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.39560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Rinky Hijikata24c993.74$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.51,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625e…4de3backed Rinky Hijikata21c952.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Rinky Hijikata22c937.4$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.237135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Frances Tiafoe76c835.38$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4927063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Rinky Hijikata23c830.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Rinky Hijikata23c829.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7613958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Frances Tiafoe78c822.8$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0237351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Rinky Hijikata12c790.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.721,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Rinky Hijikata17c779.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.488718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7663…43c1backed Rinky Hijikata13c729.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.78248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Rinky Hijikata21c657.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.251,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Rinky Hijikata21c635.07$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.361,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Rinky Hijikata22c621.72$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7860943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Rinky Hijikata31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7210640.6%43 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Frances Tiafoe78c592.08$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.265066%33 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Rinky Hijikata15c576.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.397349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Rinky Hijikata22c570$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.428828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Rinky Hijikata21c545.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6823429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rinky Hijikata21c528.55$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11129952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Rinky Hijikata21c521.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.693,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Rinky Hijikata20c519.74$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.958825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b0e…7454backed Rinky Hijikata28c493.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.891127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Frances Tiafoe78c470$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.460055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Rinky Hijikata21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2640264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Frances Tiafoe77c448.27$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.12,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7502…c66abacked Rinky Hijikata9c438.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Frances Tiafoe77c438$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7412361%75 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Frances Tiafoe77c422.09$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…3c31backed Rinky Hijikata24c410.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Frances Tiafoe78c407.68$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9535268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Frances Tiafoe77c400.4$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.098261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rinky Hijikata20c374.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.884,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Frances Tiafoe75c359.53$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8824638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Frances Tiafoe77c344.18$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1618957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Rinky Hijikata12c338.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6211958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Rinky Hijikata12c336.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4323758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rinky Hijikata29c335.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.996,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84a0…36e4backed Rinky Hijikata35c334.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rinky Hijikata17c331.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.56,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Rinky Hijikata22c327.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0186835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Frances Tiafoe77c319.46$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4713051.5%67 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Frances Tiafoe78c316.28$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5859165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Frances Tiafoe79c304.03$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8539955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Frances Tiafoe79c300$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6433364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Rinky Hijikata23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Frances Tiafoe78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6641060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Rinky Hijikata23c286.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Frances Tiafoe79c281.22$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0646562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Rinky Hijikata24c277.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Frances Tiafoe78c259.78$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.156266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5f…05afbacked Frances Tiafoe77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.923056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Frances Tiafoe71c256.06$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.017154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Rinky Hijikata22c251.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.291,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Frances Tiafoe79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4911937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Frances Tiafoe79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4984857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rinky Hijikata22c249.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.961,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Frances Tiafoe80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.422465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.