TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d5f…05af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.45
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$364.3
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.83
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.92
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$6.67
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$194.65
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.23
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$313.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick34cpaid+255.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+61.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.