TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes23c53,182$12,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,231.783234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes23c37,000$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5105345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No77c31,275$24,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,193.1516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes4c18,749$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.489113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes1c18,640$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+162.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No78c13,222$10,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.841973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c12,475$9,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9636backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30014544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes22c9,999$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.782626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes2c9,473$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.781428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c8,560$6,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c7,561$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.16,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c7,299$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes2c6,027$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c5,058$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.271,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c4,080$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.5968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.984533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c3,868$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…0573backed Yes3c3,560$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes10c3,440$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.324835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes1c3,343$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.765313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes23c3,315$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No77c3,200$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7369256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c2,972$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.11,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c2,139$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes23c1,786$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No78c1,750$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38510960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No78c1,627$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.782050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Yes6c1,563$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…ea39backed Yes2c1,411$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3223641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes14c1,391$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.863063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e5…4597backed Yes11c1,336$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No79c1,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.299058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes23c1,110$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c1,082$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c1,054$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7754340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No77c1,008$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.86055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes2c999.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c995.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.731,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b64…0ab4backed Yes22c907.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06cc…2e61backed Yes3c744.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8690%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes3c738.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…7e61backed Yes23c697.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.465143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc7d…305ebacked No75c696.19$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.711560%9 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c689.56$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c673.71$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No78c664.98$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.045561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes27c664.37$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3216757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No78c662.94$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.442744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Yes28c651.89$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No78c611.19$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.523056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes23c600.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc4…d329backed Yes24c585.46$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5a…0862backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9107…46d6backed Yes10c525$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes20c517.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8615…ada0backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1159753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No79c485.13$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.654562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes12c472.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.721250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No77c467.5$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5213347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c454.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12613727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…c4f6backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x706d…1c5abacked Yes23c432.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.51457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes28c429.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204040%16 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes17c425.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes26c387.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes8c383$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes14c380.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.941,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No78c357.69$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.69475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e19…caabbacked No78c348$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes6c325.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0311232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes27c314.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f9…4b18backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes28c295.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.921225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes23c282$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.023348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No78c271.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.416253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes10c270.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1520956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2710751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No79c254.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0625057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42ee…2cecbacked Yes23c232.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c230.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.