Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c896fc54f2ff1794ec4aabf479c9adbdf61d6889c063049c0a690ba86a7520f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,245,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,465,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 593 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 52c | 218,438$113,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,490.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 47c | 165,863$78,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,778.56 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 104,711$58,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,433.62 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 88,028$38,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,412.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 50c | 62,398$31,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,204.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 45c | 53,353$24,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,008.9 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 56c | 53,135$29,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,264.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 44c | 48,982$21,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,630.38 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 45,624$25,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,229.88 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 42,054$16,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,507.61 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 40,572$17,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,997.3 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 50c | 34,187$17,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,049.57 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 32,759$14,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,465.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 44c | 30,984$13,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,710.31 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 72c | 30,542$21,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,633.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 20c | 21,274$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 20,969$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 20,087$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.54 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 17,232$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 44c | 11,234$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.93 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 11c | 9,267$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…96dcbacked No | 8c | 7,515$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 1c | 5,947$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 2c | 5,718$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 1c | 5,014$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 53c | 4,815$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.52 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,327$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 54c | 4,097$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.49 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.98 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 3,843$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.19 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked No | 45c | 3,842$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 53c | 3,796$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.05 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 78c | 3,616$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.38 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 3,286$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.58 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 48c | 3,277$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 42c | 3,202$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.59 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 27c | 3,087$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 49c | 2,832$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.6 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 32c | 2,721$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.77 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 55c | 2,664$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.14 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,327$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.84 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Yes | 55c | 2,199$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 56c | 2,123$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.07 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 74c | 2,025$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.69 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Yes | 57c | 1,975$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 49c | 1,886$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 47c | 1,867$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.6 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 54c | 1,838$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 55c | 1,815$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.41 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…f49bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,682$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 46c | 1,491$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.87 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 26c | 1,483$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 1,381$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 45c | 1,334$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 49c | 1,309$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.23 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed No | 6c | 1,295$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 71c | 1,278$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…b52abacked No | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 27c | 1,240$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 45c | 1,200$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,192$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 51c | 1,149$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.54 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 48c | 1,145$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.75 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.86 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 45c | 1,061$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 56c | 1,047$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 56c | 1,037$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 77c | 1,004$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed No | 48c | 999.58$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 48c | 945.27$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.34 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 63c | 936.02$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 47c | 907.1$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 55c | 905.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.84 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 56c | 901.79$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.79 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 21c | 859.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 850.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 55c | 849.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Yes | 50c | 832.52$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.