TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$489,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes23c122,311$28,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,19811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes1c94,047$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.826,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No77c82,860$63,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,057.713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes23c37,000$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5105345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c31,068$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.771,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes8c30,066$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.316651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60014450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…feccbacked Yes0c15,121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes5c12,803$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.859113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes21c4,623$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes10c4,511$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.132128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c4,379$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.842,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes3c2,100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes23c1,950$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.52420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes16c1,417$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.754835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,379$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.692,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c1,366$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.252875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes23c1,288$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.289347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes23c1,138$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes23c1,110$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes6c1,076$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.291428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed Yes29c1,033$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes14c854.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.677429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes23c782.61$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes12c733.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.494562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c601.29$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No77c521.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.06875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes5c425$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c405.51$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c395.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c383.47$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.031,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes6c366.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9240821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Yes10c341.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.121225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c339$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes20c325.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5611232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No79c316.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.759058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No77c275.89$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.454369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No77c260.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No78c250.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.165657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes8c249.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…2340backed Yes23c238.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…2f42backed Yes12c237.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61b5…f1aabacked Yes10c232.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c228.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c204.17$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c9a8backed No78c192.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No75c186.8$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…9112backed No77c182.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069b…e8afbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes23c169.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0120027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No78c148$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.561776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes21c143.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No76c123.82$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7210750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes29c118.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c107.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.548666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes24c105.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246740.3%27 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe139…e844backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes16c93.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No78c92.08$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1118459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9748…228cbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a9…b4c3backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967f…a5d9backed No77c72.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d5…e05dbacked No77c66.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68c8…1736backed Yes17c63.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c57.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4c3…af88backed Yes24c56.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No76c55.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3310949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No78c51.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3718358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes23c51.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No75c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Yes23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No77c43.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.976743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed No76c41.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.972548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No76c40.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6818562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No77c40.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d6…961abacked No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked No79c30.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc9…4067backed No78c28.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No80c26.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.275561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d26…6f74backed No77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.