TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9748…228c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19454.1%105 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$29.46
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$36.06
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$52.31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$17.36
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$21.32
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$5.04
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$5.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8.55
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$16.04
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$60.47
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$26.35
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$10.48
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.4
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$24.04
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$32.79
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+239%+$41.97
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$19.82
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+55%+$12.66
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$42.37
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$43.69
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$47.18
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.86
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$289.23
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$32.09
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.06
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.14
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$314.71
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$315.28
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$2,404.58
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$28.97
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+139%+$2,669.93
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.05
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$910.93
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+641.3%+$440.91
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kentbacked Essex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$613.45
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$5.56
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$17.76
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.37
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$33.23
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$14.47
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.24
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+107.8%+$77.05
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$24.04
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$24.49
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.67
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$17.93
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$22.27
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$17.99
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$9.46
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$16.53
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$7.16
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$11.68
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$7.07
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.96
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$36.15
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.79
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$17.2
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$6.34
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+134%+$18.76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75%+$12.01
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27%+$6.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$6.46
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.