Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825602b1027a2e02acd6d85c85f915052c0f821dd4f2dd47d7e9123d3d299b5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derbyshireof Derbyshire, Nottinghamshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Nottinghamshire | 12c | 13,136$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.71 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Nottinghamshire | 33c | 4,001$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.8 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nottinghamshire | 17c | 3,100$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derbyshire | 70c | 2,927$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.64 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottinghamshire | 34c | 1,752$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.51 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Derbyshire | 75c | 1,409$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nottinghamshire | 23c | 1,180$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.11 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Nottinghamshire | 2c | 1,019$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottinghamshire | 20c | 966.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Derbyshire | 77c | 583.34$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Derbyshire | 61c | 442.11$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Derbyshire | 77c | 408.09$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Derbyshire | 76c | 402$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…d6e4backed Derbyshire | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…75ffbacked Nottinghamshire | 5c | 307.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nottinghamshire | 54c | 275.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 22c | 256.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Nottinghamshire | 20c | 251.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Derbyshire | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Nottinghamshire | 20c | 166.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nottinghamshire | 19c | 156.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Derbyshire | 44c | 147.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Nottinghamshire | 22c | 132.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…0214backed Derbyshire | 76c | 127.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Nottinghamshire | 16c | 110.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nottinghamshire | 20c | 107.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Nottinghamshire | 21c | 102.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 94.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Derbyshire | 50c | 89.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Derbyshire | 66c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nottinghamshire | 50c | 69.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…228cbacked Nottinghamshire | 18c | 68.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Derbyshire | 75c | 66.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Derbyshire | 45c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Derbyshire | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…1ee2backed Derbyshire | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Derbyshire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Derbyshire | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Derbyshire | 44c | 37.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 36.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Nottinghamshire | 59c | 35.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Nottinghamshire | 58c | 35.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Derbyshire | 45c | 28.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…393ebacked Derbyshire | 43c | 27.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…5f53backed Derbyshire | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Derbyshire | 79c | 23.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…dacfbacked Derbyshire | 75c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked Derbyshire | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.