TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa519…e0b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Cricket, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.61
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$44.07
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Panama vs. England: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Uruguay vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?backed Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Cricket — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kapsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Bravebacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+102%+$31.61
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.78
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New Yorkbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$46.08
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Surreybacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$24.95
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussexbacked Kent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$39.58
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$23.96
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$25.21
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.9wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC Dinosbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.9
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston: Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$27.02
ITF Ourense: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Rina Saigobacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
ITF Ourense: Isabella Shinikova vs Britt Du Preebacked Britt Du Pree · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.43
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rinconbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.99
ITF Koksijde: Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Loes Ebeling Koningbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadian Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.28
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.43
Targu Mures (Doubles): Bara/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Saldenbacked Cavalle-Reimers/Salden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
ITF Huamantla: Matthew Thomson vs Matt Kuharbacked Matthew Thomson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.55
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.26
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,514Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$418.79
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+94.2%+$125.86
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+107%+$412.99
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100.94
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$430.43
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.02
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.65
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$159.4
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78%+$78
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$75.89
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+103.9%+$185.29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.87
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.