MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa5a0ce360d8e378d3af2a9ab2ad4f0ef1456ada49df62ae090fb169f409018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 199,999$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,999.61 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 88,656$39,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,760.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 36,024$18,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,073.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 34,576$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 79c | 31,810$25,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,771.98 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 28,812$13,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,779.25 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 21,539$10,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.45 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 18,643$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,253.76 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 14,350$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 7,897$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 7,439$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.18 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,999$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.53 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 70c | 5,932$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,778$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 4,827$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.47 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 3,495$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 3,391$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,273$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.96 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,250$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,250$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.49 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,131$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,608$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.32 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 1,516$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 1,486$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,453$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.16 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,308$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,272$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 1,077$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,012$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 1,002$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 961.37$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 844.31$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 817.1$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 816$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 799.97$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 782.21$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 773.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 767.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 656.29$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 622.41$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 520.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 510.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 483.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 481.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 467.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 443.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 428.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 426.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 424.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…aa4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 412$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 390.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 374.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 368.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 362.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 343.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 329.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 327.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 319.69$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 313.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 294.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 286.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 286.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 285$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 270.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 263$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 240.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…95b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 232.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 223.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 219.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 217.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 214.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 214.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 207.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 206.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 206.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.