MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814c3d019b69f63ba12cbadf612ff5f215a5da34b84a010c484eb80233795f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 212,509$114,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,574.4 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 76,191$35,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,143.14 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 17,500$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,297.45 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 16,499$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.47 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 13,083$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 54c | 12,566$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.17 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 11,511$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.19 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 46c | 11,442$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.87 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 9,873$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 8,786$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.4 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 7,897$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 6,040$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 5,061$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.74 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 4,831$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 4,819$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 4,220$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.56 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 2,317$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 2,141$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Over | 55c | 1,773$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,302$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.19 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 1,069$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,023$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 976.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 888.21$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…03eebacked Over | 51c | 662.59$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 445.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 46c | 419.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 336$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 315$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 289$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 219.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 55c | 190$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Under | 69c | 187.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 51c | 146.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 9c | 109.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 46c | 83.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 55c | 73.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 27c | 69.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 61.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…74bbbacked Under | 69c | 47.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 50c | 44.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6e4cbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 48c | 40.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 38c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 47c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 30.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 50c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 46c | 29.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 59c | 26.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 52c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 46c | 23.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 65c | 21.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Over | 59c | 17.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Over | 60c | 17.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.