TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over54c212,509$114,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,574.446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under46c76,191$35,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,143.1411656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under46c60,000$27,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,40079442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over53c17,500$9,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,297.4548451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under47c16,499$7,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,744.4771650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c13,083$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.7411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over54c12,566$6,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,784.1744851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c11,511$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216.1932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under46c11,442$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,178.8732251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c9,873$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,343.7810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under46c8,786$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.443647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c7,897$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,220.993,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c6,040$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.594,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c5,061$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.742,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c4,831$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.438,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under46c4,819$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c4,220$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.561,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under48c2,317$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.922,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c2,141$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.9312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Over55c1,773$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9754652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c1,302$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.1944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under47c1,069$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.413,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c1,023$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.552,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51016644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50068053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under50c980$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c976.65$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.528,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c888.21$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecb…03eebacked Over51c662.59$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under46c445.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Over52c420$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under46c419.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under46c385$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.928943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over55c380$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20939440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under47c336$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c315$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.11,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1240348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under47c289$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.752,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c219.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.262,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over55c190$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.438142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Under69c187.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8844949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under51c146.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fff…5495backed Over50c138$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over9c109.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.165,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.771,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1764452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4573243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1115862.7%99 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under46c83.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over55c73.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over27c69.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c61.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.539250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c4…74bbbacked Under69c47.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under50c44.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4822350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c44.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b8…6e4cbacked Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under48c40.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8974657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.627644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over38c35.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under47c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2811050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c30.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over50c30.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.219752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under46c29.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7522151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532054.1%173 W · 147 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over59c26.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9146952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under52c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0719756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Under46c23.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6934451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c22.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.462,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over65c21.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Over59c17.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.553246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Over60c17.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.