MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2364b309827fcda2921f7e65ff957c0cdce217fa9d44d4eee0f025c53ecc8fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $631,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 80,014$36,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,475.41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 65,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 47,973$21,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,107.93 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 47,082$35,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,174.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 31,277$13,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,869.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 26,301$17,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,545.3 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 22,187$9,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 15,553$6,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.19 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 14,551$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.97 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 10,655$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.9 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 6,325$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.25 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 6,138$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.11 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 6,079$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.43 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 5,273$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 4,725$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.5 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 3,754$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.52 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,751$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.1 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 3,386$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.46 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 3,378$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,269$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.54 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 3,028$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 2,968$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,791$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.54 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 2,740$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.94 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,711$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 2,361$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.19 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 2,318$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.2 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.17 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,893$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,352$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.91 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 1,316$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.22 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 959.43$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 928.25$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 922.29$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 807.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 758.59$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 715.53$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…8562backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 681.1$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d1…5d59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 560.42$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 532.31$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 525$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 516.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 499.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 490$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 489$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…06f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 459.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 447.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 436.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 436.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 424$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 423.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 414.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…0324backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 395.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 391.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 391.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 387.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 383$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 380.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 377$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…6566backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 350.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 345.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 334$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 333.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 333.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 332$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 327$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 320$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 319.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 316.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4983…ef5cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 311.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 310.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 305.87$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6af1backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 303.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…1d33backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 303.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.