MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b77b985e2dae9ef19d8147c42bfbee6eff3761c66bdf5d2189754ddf890ad8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 415,585$197,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,080.2 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 173,512$90,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,226.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 69,438$36,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,809.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 48,305$25,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,836.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 45,936$23,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,886.5 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 14,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 54c | 13,189$7,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,116.24 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 8,956$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 8,248$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 4,390$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.94 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.11 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 1,794$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 1,680$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Over | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed Under | 59c | 993.65$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 53c | 834.8$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 44c | 661.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 634$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 622.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 607.62$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 361.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 356.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 299.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 75c | 283$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 209.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 54c | 199.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 199.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 194.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 52c | 175.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Over | 22c | 163.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 30c | 149.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 142.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 54c | 131.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 110.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 107.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 70c | 100.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 55c | 93.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 48c | 90.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 83.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 74.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 52c | 71.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 74c | 62.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 62.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 60.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 50.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 48c | 48.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 41.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 50c | 40.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…addcbacked Under | 48c | 37.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 32.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 53c | 27.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 45c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 53c | 25.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 50c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.